Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.609753 4.031561 4.489649 5.025192 5.635492 6.310915 7.117188
2025-02-23 3.021856 3.590459 4.253470 5.087980 6.116310 7.349714 8.952623
2025-03-02 2.560408 3.180763 3.942418 4.954792 6.277719 7.965114 10.308245
2025-03-09 2.260659 2.910399 3.742013 4.897701 6.483096 8.612405 11.741155
2025-03-16 2.027397 2.689329 3.566772 4.833288 6.644991 9.190273 13.121940
2025-03-23 1.922515 2.622790 3.582252 5.018101 7.156417 10.294988 15.387847
2025-03-30 1.775702 2.480630 3.473946 5.007153 7.371300 10.976494 17.086695
2025-04-06 1.641603 2.342448 3.355197 4.962761 7.521497 11.563093 18.695955
2025-04-13 1.467960 2.130998 3.108948 4.697263 7.292409 11.513123 19.219618
2025-04-20 1.384030 2.046517 3.045413 4.708465 7.504288 12.199584 21.101374
2025-04-27 1.329475 2.001915 3.038170 4.806571 7.865758 13.172735 23.628474
2025-05-04 1.278980 1.959165 3.029195 4.898666 8.222539 14.172142 26.341615
2025-05-11 1.222710 1.904785 2.999824 4.958130 8.536543 15.146859 29.192619
2025-05-18 1.168884 1.850458 2.966213 5.006911 8.836178 16.131173 32.225381
2025-05-25 1.087517 1.744509 2.837388 4.873734 8.780126 16.416524 33.807513
2025-06-01 1.026855 1.669233 2.755227 4.817256 8.863014 16.984113 36.097028
2025-06-08 0.970378 1.597320 2.673550 4.753970 8.924565 17.512090 38.376958
2025-06-15 0.955906 1.597421 2.719186 4.935273 9.496007 19.185246 43.675569
2025-06-22 0.914197 1.546387 2.668443 4.924529 9.668097 20.008086 47.013449
2025-06-29 0.871080 1.490103 2.604072 4.880977 9.765258 20.672741 50.059991
2025-07-06 0.802312 1.383181 2.438553 4.620482 9.367059 20.148712 49.842724
2025-07-13 0.773349 1.348097 2.406720 4.631474 9.569686 21.065496 53.755575
2025-07-20 0.756663 1.334853 2.415662 4.727735 9.973776 22.519851 59.482626